About nfelo

nfelo is a predictive model for NFL games. Mechanically, it combines 538's Elo model with research driven modifications to create a model tailored specifically to the NFL--hence the name nfelo (NFL + Elo).

This site is a front-end app for exploring the model and its output. It features game predictions, power rankings, and QB values.

In addition to the model, this site also features other useful information like historical box scores with advanced analaytics and expected value calculations to use when thinking about wagering.