Data Driven
NFL Predictions
Using play-by-play data, advanced metrics, and custom models to generate picks and power rankings for all 32 teams.
Deep dive into NFL analytics with a comprehensive platform featuring advanced metrics and insights.
- • Advanced team & player metrics
- • Interactive data visualizations
- • Historical data tables
- • Game previews
- • Calculators
Elo rankings for the NFL
Track team strength, efficiency, and momentum throughout the season using a custom Elo model tailored to the dynamics of the NFL.
Find expected value
nfelo's power ratings are translated into spreads, win probabilities, and confidence picks for every game. Games with positive expected value are highlighted.
Transparent Model Performance
nfelo's performance backtest is updated weekly and available back to 2009. Picks are submitted and tracked by PredictionTracker.com, and the model code is available openly on Github.
Explore the model
Major features and advanced metrics used in the model are explained through deep dives, primers, and analysis.