Model Performance
NFL Model Performance
| Season | Model SU% | vs Close | Model MAE | vs Close | Open Bets | ATS | Units | CLV | Close Bets | ATS | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 69.4% | 0.0% | 11.2 | -0.05 | 132 | 54.5% | +6.0 | 4.65% | 119 | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| 2010 | 65.9% | 0.1% | 10.7 | -0.07 | 110 | 56.4% | +9.2 | 6.53% | 96 | 58.5% | +12.1 |
| 2011 | 65.9% | -0.7% | 10.4 | -0.12 | 110 | 62.3% | +22.0 | 4.46% | 98 | 58.3% | +12.0 |
| 2012 | 64.3% | -0.2% | 10.8 | 0.02 | 94 | 51.6% | -1.5 | 6.80% | 85 | 53.7% | +2.2 |
| 2013 | 71.3% | 0.3% | 9.8 | 0.01 | 109 | 50.5% | -4.1 | 4.27% | 88 | 55.3% | +5.2 |
| 2014 | 67.0% | -0.3% | 11.3 | 0.03 | 103 | 49.5% | -6.0 | 5.47% | 88 | 54.5% | +4.0 |
| 2015 | 63.3% | 0.3% | 10.0 | -0.13 | 105 | 65.0% | +27.4 | 5.54% | 90 | 67.9% | +27.3 |
| 2016 | 64.1% | -2.2% | 9.0 | -0.01 | 107 | 56.3% | +8.5 | 5.22% | 96 | 51.6% | -1.5 |
| 2017 | 70.2% | 0.5% | 10.1 | 0.00 | 107 | 57.5% | +11.5 | 5.37% | 92 | 51.1% | -2.4 |
| 2018 | 66.7% | 1.4% | 9.7 | -0.10 | 94 | 58.1% | +11.1 | 5.57% | 80 | 63.3% | +18.1 |
| 2019 | 65.4% | 0.1% | 10.2 | 0.02 | 105 | 53.5% | +2.3 | 3.65% | 86 | 56.3% | +6.5 |
| 2020 | 69.9% | 1.6% | 9.7 | -0.02 | 144 | 59.6% | +21.3 | 7.24% | 129 | 55.6% | +8.4 |
| 2021 | 63.3% | 0.2% | 10.6 | -0.05 | 108 | 54.2% | +4.1 | 7.17% | 91 | 56.7% | +8.1 |
| 2022 | 66.3% | 0.4% | 8.8 | -0.01 | 103 | 57.4% | +10.7 | 4.99% | 104 | 53.9% | +3.3 |
| 2023 | 67.3% | -0.2% | 10.1 | 0.05 | 117 | 60.3% | +19.4 | 13.08% | 101 | 48.5% | -8.0 |
| 2024 | 69.1% | -1.4% | 9.8 | 0.12 | 107 | 46.1% | -13.5 | 3.40% | 100 | 46.9% | -11.1 |
| 2025 | 65.1% | -0.4% | 9.7 | 0.04 | 102 | 56.6% | +8.7 | 3.63% | 90 | 55.6% | +6.0 |
| 2026 | 71.9% | 0.0% | 11.6 | 0.08 | 13 | 23.1% | -8.0 | 1.83% | 13 | 23.1% | -8.0 |