BUFBills
7-3
7
TBD
Giants Stadium
60°F
5 mph
17
NYJJets
3-6
TBD
Giants Stadium
60°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
0
7
0
7
Jets
0
8
3
0
11
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
273
208
Total Plays
59
60
Yards / Play
4.6
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.27
-0.11
Passing Yards
205
113
Comp/Att
22/40(55%)
16/21(76%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.33
-0.15
Rushing Yards
68
95
Rush Attempts
17
35
Yards / Rush
4.0
2.7
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
14
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
29%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-16.11
--
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-15
-29
Sack EPA
-5.89
-5.97
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
15
50
Penalty EPA
-0.92
-5.11
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
9
Yards / Game
15
21
Passing Yards / Game
23
16
Rushing Yards / Game
7
17
EPA
EPA / Play
12
20
EPA / Pass
9
15
EPA / Rush
18
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
19
Interceptions / Game
8
6
Fumbles / Game
10
16
Turnover EPA / Game
21
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
29
4th Down Efficiency
9
17
RZ Efficiency
16
7
Jets Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
3
Yards / Game
24
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
1
Rushing Yards / Game
11
5
EPA
EPA / Play
10
5
EPA / Pass
10
3
EPA / Rush
15
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
26
Interceptions / Game
12
27
Fumbles / Game
1
23
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
2
4th Down Efficiency
14
9
RZ Efficiency
26
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
3-6
SU
3-6
ATS
0-0-9
O/U