DENBroncos
8-7
21
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
58°F
8 mph
52
LACChargers
7-8
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
58°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
6
0
7
8
21
Chargers
10
14
14
14
52
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
408
491
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
6.8
7.7
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.59
Passing Yards
--
202
Comp/Att
33/49(67%)
15/20(75%)
Yards / Pass
--
10.1
EPA / Pass
-0.07
+0.68
Rushing Yards
92
289
Rush Attempts
11
42
Yards / Rush
8.4
6.9
EPA / Rush
+0.75
+0.47
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
28
Passing 1st downs
20
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
17
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
38%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
8
11
Red Zone %
0%
88%
Red Zone Conversions
--
7
Red Zone Attempts
2
8
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.44
--
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-5
Sack EPA
--
-1.53
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
79
67
Penalty EPA
-5.94
-5.17
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
17
Yards / Game
2
25
Passing Yards / Game
25
22
Rushing Yards / Game
11
11
EPA
EPA / Play
5
27
EPA / Pass
4
20
EPA / Rush
5
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
20
Interceptions / Game
24
17
Fumbles / Game
18
17
Turnover EPA / Game
10
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
19
4th Down Efficiency
27
15
RZ Efficiency
16
22
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
30
Yards / Game
10
29
Passing Yards / Game
14
21
Rushing Yards / Game
21
27
EPA
EPA / Play
1
32
EPA / Pass
3
31
EPA / Rush
7
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
32
Interceptions / Game
8
31
Fumbles / Game
9
22
Turnover EPA / Game
23
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
26
4th Down Efficiency
3
18
RZ Efficiency
12
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U