ARICardinals
3-2
10
TBD
Lumen Field
52°F
12 mph
22
SEASeahawks
3-2
TBD
Lumen Field
52°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
0
7
3
10
Seahawks
3
7
9
3
22
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
227
302
Total Plays
55
79
Yards / Play
4.1
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.33
-0.07
Passing Yards
114
158
Comp/Att
12/33(36%)
20/38(53%)
Yards / Pass
3.5
4.2
EPA / Pass
-0.47
-0.11
Rushing Yards
113
144
Rush Attempts
20
36
Yards / Rush
5.7
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
16
Passing 1st downs
6
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
17%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
21
Red Zone %
33%
14%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
3
2
Turnover EPA
-16.92
+3.25
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-18
-34
Sack EPA
-4.96
-11.75
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
--
95
Penalty EPA
--
-6.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model63.6%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+6.5
Expected Value
+10.1%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+49
Home nfelo
1,431
Away nfelo
1,428
Home Field
-3.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+49.9
Home QB Adjustment
+1.3
Away QB Adjustment
-48.6
Market Regression
-5.1
Final Difference
97.3
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
M. Hall
Proj. Value
-5.7
Team Elo Adj
-48.6
Value
Ptile
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+1.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
27
Yards / Game
31
30
Passing Yards / Game
22
24
Rushing Yards / Game
32
21
EPA
EPA / Play
31
25
EPA / Pass
31
29
EPA / Rush
25
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
17
Interceptions / Game
21
27
Fumbles / Game
22
20
Turnover EPA / Game
5
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
26
4th Down Efficiency
24
7
RZ Efficiency
29
11
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
30
Yards / Game
26
28
Passing Yards / Game
25
27
Rushing Yards / Game
31
30
EPA
EPA / Play
22
14
EPA / Pass
24
19
EPA / Rush
24
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
2
Interceptions / Game
20
11
Fumbles / Game
12
2
Turnover EPA / Game
12
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
11
4th Down Efficiency
29
21
RZ Efficiency
26
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-5-1
O/U