LARRams
10-2
34
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
021
NOSaints
7-5
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
7
14
7
6
34
Saints
7
7
7
0
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
365
310
Total Plays
61
64
Yards / Play
6.0
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.25
-0.05
Passing Yards
309
242
Comp/Att
23/32(72%)
23/40(57%)
Yards / Pass
9.7
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.49
-0.11
Rushing Yards
56
68
Rush Attempts
25
19
Yards / Rush
2.2
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
17
Passing 1st downs
15
13
Rushing 1st downs
3
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
50%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
60%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-2.65
-6.62
Sacks
4
5
Sack Yards
-29
-27
Sack EPA
-5.80
-5.37
Penalties
11
16
Penalty Yards
85
132
Penalty EPA
-8.88
-15.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Rams Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
27
Yards / Game
1
17
Passing Yards / Game
1
15
Rushing Yards / Game
6
13
EPA
EPA / Play
2
25
EPA / Pass
1
24
EPA / Rush
3
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
5
Interceptions / Game
24
21
Fumbles / Game
29
3
Turnover EPA / Game
5
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
23
4th Down Efficiency
8
1
RZ Efficiency
1
30
Saints Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
6
Yards / Game
10
3
Passing Yards / Game
9
20
Rushing Yards / Game
19
5
EPA
EPA / Play
20
4
EPA / Pass
16
1
EPA / Rush
28
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
16
Interceptions / Game
25
4
Fumbles / Game
15
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
7
4th Down Efficiency
22
16
RZ Efficiency
12
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Rams
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U