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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ chiefs week 7, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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TEN logo
TENTitans
5-0
34
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
63°F
10 mph
10
KCChiefs
1-4
KC logo
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
63°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
10
7
3
14
34
Chiefs
0
0
0
10
10

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Chiefs logo
Total Yards
455
272
Total Plays
58
57
Yards / Play
7.8
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.43
-0.06
Passing Yards
--
214
Comp/Att
11/18(61%)
23/37(62%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.8
EPA / Pass
-0.00
-0.05
Rushing Yards
332
58
Rush Attempts
40
17
Yards / Rush
8.3
3.4
EPA / Rush
+0.50
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Chiefs logo
1st Downs
20
13
Passing 1st downs
6
8
Rushing 1st downs
14
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
45%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Chiefs logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-21
Sack EPA
--
-5.02
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
55
60
Penalty EPA
+4.02
-6.33

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TEN logo
TENTitansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Titans logo
Chiefs logo

Total

Points / Game
18
29
Yards / Game
19
31
Passing Yards / Game
30
1
Rushing Yards / Game
7
30

EPA

EPA / Play
16
30
EPA / Pass
16
26
EPA / Rush
22
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
12
Interceptions / Game
2
18
Fumbles / Game
16
4
Turnover EPA / Game
32
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
32
4th Down Efficiency
30
7
RZ Efficiency
6
18
Chiefs Offense vs Titans Defense
Chiefs logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
26
1
Yards / Game
24
4
Passing Yards / Game
10
18
Rushing Yards / Game
16
4

EPA

EPA / Play
23
3
EPA / Pass
22
4
EPA / Rush
12
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
31
Interceptions / Game
20
7
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
15
23

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
5
4th Down Efficiency
29
8
RZ Efficiency
10
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/09
-6
L
L
P
12/16
9
W
W
P
12/23
4
W
L
P
12/30
6
W
W
P
01/06
-11
L
L
P
09/07
7
W
W
P
09/14
17
W
W
P
09/21
19
W
W
P
09/28
13
W
W
P
10/05
3
W
W
P
KC logo

Chiefs

1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/02
-14
L
L
P
12/09
-34
L
L
P
12/16
-9
L
L
P
12/23
-5
L
W
P
12/30
-3
L
W
P
09/07
-7
L
W
P
09/14
-15
L
L
P
09/21
-24
L
L
P
09/28
14
W
W
P
10/05
-34
L
L
P