NFL Team Tendencies

Pass rates, formations, personnel groupings, and play-calling tendencies for every NFL team

Run Pass Ratio Target Depth Target Location Target Dist. 1st Down Personnel 1st Down Formation Run Direction Run Gap Go For It Other
Team
Pass Rate
Rush Rate
PROE
aDOT
vs Sticks
Left
Middle
Right
WR
TE
RB
11
12
13
21
22
Other
Shotgun
Singleback
I-Form
Empty
Other
Left
Right
Guard
Tackle
End
4th Down
2pt Conv
No Huddle
Scramble
TOP
Cardinals logo
ARI
2024
59%
41%
-2.5%
6.8
-1.9
43%
19%
38%
48%
34%
18%
58%
42%
18%
36%
46%
17.5%
11.9%
10.4%
6.7%
29:39
Falcons logo
ATL
2024
56%
44%
-8.1%
8.0
-1.2
38%
23%
39%
68%
16%
16%
47%
53%
21%
37%
42%
26.7%
9.5%
14.6%
1.2%
29:40
Ravens logo
BAL
2024
52%
48%
-7.5%
8.8
-0.7
39%
25%
37%
52%
30%
18%
55%
45%
33%
23%
44%
15.6%
4.6%
5.5%
8.3%
30:57
Bills logo
BUF
2024
58%
42%
-2.0%
8.2
-0.8
42%
16%
42%
60%
24%
17%
51%
49%
39%
32%
29%
20.9%
1.5%
6.4%
7.8%
29:42
Panthers logo
CAR
2024
64%
36%
-2.2%
8.2
-0.5
35%
21%
44%
66%
17%
17%
57%
43%
41%
30%
29%
23.6%
7.9%
7.2%
6.9%
27:50
Bears logo
CHI
2024
65%
35%
-2.4%
8.1
-1.1
36%
19%
44%
71%
14%
15%
50%
50%
30%
22%
47%
26.8%
27.8%
25.8%
7.2%
29:48
Bengals logo
CIN
2024
68%
32%
+8.2%
7.1
-1.0
36%
22%
42%
59%
25%
16%
49%
51%
46%
30%
24%
18.3%
5.4%
3.0%
3.0%
30:48
Browns logo
CLE
2024
69%
31%
+0.4%
7.8
-1.5
40%
21%
39%
60%
26%
14%
52%
48%
34%
35%
32%
27.7%
27.6%
15.2%
4.7%
30:07
Cowboys logo
DAL
2024
63%
37%
-2.4%
7.4
-1.5
31%
23%
46%
64%
22%
14%
57%
43%
41%
28%
32%
21.1%
9.1%
8.9%
1.8%
29:08
Broncos logo
DEN
2024
62%
38%
+0.5%
7.3
-1.6
39%
20%
41%
65%
13%
21%
43%
57%
42%
25%
33%
16.7%
2.1%
13.4%
7.9%
29:42
Lions logo
DET
2024
54%
46%
-3.5%
6.4
-2.0
30%
32%
38%
60%
19%
21%
53%
47%
17%
46%
38%
32.0%
2.9%
3.6%
2.5%
32:16
Packers logo
GB
2024
51%
49%
-8.3%
8.7
-0.1
39%
20%
41%
66%
19%
15%
44%
56%
34%
27%
39%
15.1%
11.5%
9.1%
3.8%
30:26
Texans logo
HOU
2024
63%
37%
+0.8%
8.2
-1.0
34%
22%
45%
62%
20%
17%
62%
38%
29%
34%
37%
13.6%
5.3%
5.5%
5.9%
30:44
Colts logo
IND
2024
55%
45%
-8.5%
10.6
+1.4
39%
20%
41%
71%
15%
13%
52%
48%
33%
36%
31%
21.4%
12.2%
11.2%
4.2%
27:54
Jaguars logo
JAX
2024
62%
38%
-3.5%
8.4
-0.5
37%
20%
43%
58%
26%
16%
47%
53%
31%
35%
34%
21.9%
20.6%
13.1%
4.4%
27:01
Chiefs logo
KC
2024
64%
36%
+5.2%
6.4
-2.1
34%
23%
43%
50%
34%
16%
46%
54%
48%
21%
31%
15.2%
4.9%
1.2%
5.7%
30:40
Chargers logo
LAC
2024
59%
41%
-1.5%
8.6
-0.6
31%
23%
45%
66%
22%
12%
57%
43%
32%
31%
36%
12.7%
12.2%
3.8%
5.6%
30:12
Rams logo
LAR
2024
58%
42%
-3.6%
7.4
-1.0
42%
20%
37%
75%
15%
10%
48%
52%
36%
36%
28%
20.5%
10.0%
8.6%
0.7%
29:10
Dolphins logo
MIA
2024
61%
39%
-2.5%
6.3
-2.6
40%
22%
38%
51%
26%
23%
53%
47%
22%
28%
50%
24.8%
15.2%
5.7%
3.8%
31:39
Vikings logo
MIN
2024
61%
39%
+3.9%
8.5
-0.5
37%
22%
40%
61%
23%
17%
58%
42%
33%
27%
40%
11.9%
2.1%
11.0%
4.6%
30:05
Patriots logo
NE
2024
63%
37%
-3.1%
7.3
-1.7
32%
24%
44%
51%
32%
17%
42%
58%
35%
32%
32%
19.2%
13.3%
9.5%
8.8%
29:12
Saints logo
NO
2024
60%
40%
-5.3%
8.1
-1.2
31%
26%
42%
46%
28%
26%
46%
54%
29%
28%
43%
20.6%
10.8%
9.8%
4.4%
28:02
Giants logo
NYG
2024
64%
36%
-3.5%
6.9
-2.1
40%
22%
38%
73%
11%
16%
51%
49%
45%
32%
24%
26.4%
23.3%
13.2%
4.3%
29:58
Jets logo
NYJ
2024
66%
34%
+2.4%
6.8
-1.7
37%
21%
43%
62%
18%
19%
47%
53%
24%
39%
37%
20.9%
22.5%
8.4%
2.7%
28:56
Raiders logo
OAK
2024
67%
33%
-0.9%
7.1
-1.7
39%
21%
40%
48%
33%
19%
53%
47%
48%
26%
26%
19.4%
16.7%
11.1%
2.8%
29:12
Eagles logo
PHI
2024
49%
51%
-8.8%
7.8
-1.1
46%
14%
40%
63%
21%
17%
49%
51%
41%
30%
29%
23.1%
11.1%
25.0%
7.8%
31:59
Steelers logo
PIT
2024
55%
45%
-6.4%
8.0
-1.3
44%
17%
39%
50%
27%
24%
53%
47%
36%
36%
27%
14.3%
5.4%
23.4%
6.7%
30:44
Seahawks logo
SEA
2024
66%
34%
+1.7%
7.0
-2.5
35%
25%
40%
61%
20%
19%
56%
44%
45%
23%
32%
15.7%
7.0%
21.6%
3.7%
29:02
49ers logo
SF
2024
60%
40%
-2.2%
8.6
-0.4
39%
27%
34%
61%
21%
18%
56%
44%
29%
31%
40%
15.4%
4.8%
3.0%
7.8%
30:25
Buccaneers logo
TB
2024
60%
40%
-0.2%
7.0
-2.1
36%
21%
43%
59%
19%
22%
52%
48%
33%
33%
34%
14.9%
5.1%
5.5%
6.4%
32:20
Titans logo
TEN
2024
60%
40%
-7.0%
8.1
-1.2
40%
22%
38%
56%
26%
19%
55%
45%
32%
30%
38%
18.7%
12.5%
7.5%
5.4%
30:52
Commanders logo
WAS
2024
60%
40%
-0.2%
7.6
-1.3
31%
26%
43%
63%
22%
16%
43%
57%
29%
28%
42%
20.7%
11.3%
62.4%
11.7%
30:48

NFL Team Tendencies | Advanced Analytics & PROE Stats

Team Tendencies

Unlike other team stats, NFL Team Tendencies are neither good nor bad indicators of performance. Instead, they speak to the stylistic ways in which teams play, which in turn may reveal insights on coaching philosophies, strategies, and personnel composition.

For instance:

  • The Kansas City Chiefs consistently have an extremely high Passing Rate Over Expected (PROE), because they have both an elite quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and a coach in Andy Reid who has favored a pass-heavy offense his entire career.
  • The San Francisco 49ers run more 21 personnel than any other team, in part because they have strong pass catchers at runningback, fullback, and tight end. This roster construction is potentially by design, as another leader in 21 personnel is the Miami Dolphins, who are coached by longtime Kyle Shanahan assistant, Mike McDaniel. Is this personnel or scheme?
  • The Eagles have had an exceptionally low rate of targets over the middle of the field, which may be a confluence of having both elite outside pass catchers and a QB who prefers the sidelines.
  • The Lions under Dan Campbell have been extremely aggressive, leading the league in 4th down attempts for most of his tenure.

So what are the categories of team tendencies to look at?

NFL Run Pass Ratios

A classic category of tendency is the ratio between a team's run rate and pass rate. This simplistic measure is a directional measure of how pass heavy a team is. However, it can be conflated with game context. Teams that are often behind in games will naturally pass more, which inflates their ratio.

This is why the preferred measure is Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE), which adjusts for game context.

Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE)

Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE) is the most accurate way to measure a team's true passing tendencies. Unlike basic run-pass ratios that can be misleading due to game situations, PROE compares each team's actual pass rate to what an average NFL team would do in similar game contexts (down, distance, score differential, time remaining, etc.).

This is extremely similar to the concept of "neutral pass rate", which is the team's pass rate in neutral game situations, where the contextual factors mentioned above are unlikely to bias a team towards a certain game script. PROE is slightly better than netural pass rate because it allows us to use more data. By adjusting any play for its game context, PROE considers all plays, whereas neutral pass rate works by eliminating non-neutral plays from its calculation.

Teams with high PROE often have elite quarterbacks or weak running games, while low PROE teams typically rely on strong rushing attacks or conservative game management. You'll often see low PROEs when rookie quarterbacks start, and high PROEs when a team has a perennial Pro Bowler at quarterback.

Neutral Down Personnel Groupings - Formation Analytics

While we can use an "over expected" metric like PROE for passing, personnel groups are relatively less impacted by game context, making it harder to set an "expected" rate for each group.

For Personnel Grouping, we do need to rely on a neutral measure, which means only including plays that occur on first and second down when a game is still competitive.

Personnel groupings tell us the types of players who were most frequently on the field for a team, which can speak to their roster and strategy. The first number represents the number of RBs while the second number represents the number of TEs -- 11 Personnel is 1 RB, 1 TE, and 3 WRs, while 12 Personnel is 1 RB, 2 TEs, and 2 WRs.

Personnel Grouping Trends:

  • 11 Personnel Most frequently used personnel group in modern NFL offenses, with most teams using it 60-80% of the time in neutral game situations
  • 21 Personnel and 12 Personnel usage indicates run-heavy or play-action focused offenses like the 49ers. These offenses use fewer receivers, and instead rely on pass-catching RBs, FBs, and TEs.
  • Collectively, 11, 21, and 12 personnel account for upwards of 90% of plays run in the NFL.

Target Depth & Passing Analytics

Target depth tells us how far down the field teams threw on average. A team with a 9.1 Average Depth of Target (aDOT) targeted receivers 9.1 yards past the line of scrimmage on average. "Vs Sticks" is similar to aDOT, but also considers how many yards a team needed to gain for first down. A value of -3.5 means that a team threw the ball, on average, 3.5 yards short of the first down marker.

Target Depth Categories:

  • Deep aDOT (10+ yards): Indicates aggressive vertical passing attacks. This is fairly uncommon in the NFL, as teams have found shorter passes to be more effective.
  • Intermediate aDOT (7-10 yards): Balanced approach mixing quick game with intermediate routes
  • Short aDOT (under 7 yards): Quick-game focused, relying on YAC to move the ball effectively.

Go For It - 4th Down & 2-Point Aggression

These stats tell us how aggressive a team was on 4th downs and 2 point conversions. A team with a 33% 4th Down rate elected to go for it (i.e., not punt or kick a field goal) on ⅓ of the 4th downs they faced.

4th Down Decision Making: Modern NFL analytics favor going for it on 4th down more frequently than teams historically have. As a result, the NFL has seen an uptick in the rate at which teams go for it. Dan Campbell and the Lions are a particularly good example of this trend.

2-Point Conversion Strategy: While teams are going for 2 more often than they have in the past, the trend is not nearly as universal as the increase in 4th down aggressiveness. Teams that are going for 2 more often tend to be those that are exceptional in short yardage situations like the Eagles, who have led the league in this category.

Time and Tempo Analysis

Time and Tempo stats tell us how quickly a team played and how well they controlled the clock. Clock Used tells us how much of the play clock a team used on average, while Time of Possession tells us how many game minutes a team possessed the ball for. Plays Per Minute looks at both how much of the play clock a team used and how long each play took to determine how many plays they ran per minute of real-world time (as opposed to game time).

Due to data availability changes, detailed pacing information is currently limited.