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BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2012 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
14-6
nfelo Rating
16196th
Point Diff / Game
+4.59th
Net EPA / Play
+0.07210th

2012 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CIN logo
CIN
W
44-13
+31
-7
W
27
2
PHI logo
PHI@
L
23-24
-1
+3
W
-0
3
NE logo
NE
W
31-30
+1
-3
L
18
4
CLE logo
CLE
W
23-16
+7
-11
L
-21
5
KC logo
KC@
W
09-06
+3
-6
L
-15
6
DAL logo
DAL
W
31-29
+2
-3
L
-9
7
HOU logo
HOU@
L
13-43
-30
+6.5
L
-28
8BYE WEEK
9
CLE logo
CLE@
W
25-15
+10
-3.5
W
7
10
OAK logo
OAK
W
55-20
+35
-7.5
W
20
11
PIT logo
PIT@
W
13-10
+3
-3
P
6
12
LAC logo
LAC@
W
16-13
+3
-1
W
21
13
PIT logo
PIT
L
20-23
-3
-7
L
-15
14
WAS logo
WAS@
L
28-31
-3
+2
L
-4
15
DEN logo
DEN
L
17-34
-17
+3
L
-62
16
NYG logo
NYG
W
33-14
+19
+2.5
W
23
17
CIN logo
CIN@
L
17-23
-6
+4.5
L
-18
18
IND logo
IND
W
24-09
+15
-7.5
W
14
19
DEN logo
DEN@
W
38-35
+3
+9
W
59
20
NE logo
NE@
W
28-13
+15
+7.5
W
19
21
SF logo
SF@
W
34-31
+3
+4.5
W
-33

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.08
10th
EPA / Pass
+0.08
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
17th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.01
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.03
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
14th
Sack EPA
-3.51
11th
Turnover EPA
-4.60
27th
Point Differential
+4.5
9th
Points For
26.1
9th
Points Against
21.6
12th
Total Yards
364.1
11th
Passing Yards
190.6
17th
Rushing Yards
122.0
11th
Total Yards Allowed
366.5
23rd
Passing Allowed
217.6
25th
Rushing Allowed
126.7
22nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
14th
4th Down
35%
26th
Red Zone
60%
6th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
11th
4th Down
44%
13th
Red Zone
41%
1st

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
5th
Created
1.6
12th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
4th
Created
0.9
13th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
12th
Created
0.7
11th