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BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2014 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
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    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
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  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-7
nfelo Rating
15699th
Point Diff / Game
+6.45th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1214th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CIN logo
CIN
L
16-23
-7
-1
L
-2
2
PIT logo
PIT
W
26-06
+20
-2.5
W
34
3
CLE logo
CLE@
W
23-21
+2
-2
P
1
4
CAR logo
CAR
W
38-10
+28
-3
W
40
5
IND logo
IND@
L
13-20
-7
+3
L
-14
6
TB logo
TB@
W
48-17
+31
-3
W
28
7
ATL logo
ATL
W
29-07
+22
-6.5
W
8
8
CIN logo
CIN@
L
24-27
-3
-3
L
-15
9
PIT logo
PIT@
L
23-43
-20
+2.5
L
-21
10
TEN logo
TEN
W
21-07
+14
-10.5
W
10
11BYE WEEK
12
NO logo
NO@
W
34-27
+7
+3
W
13
13
LAC logo
LAC
L
33-34
-1
-6.5
L
-2
14
MIA logo
MIA@
W
28-13
+15
+3
W
23
15
JAX logo
JAX
W
20-12
+8
-14
L
-22
16
HOU logo
HOU@
L
13-25
-12
-6.5
L
-25
17
CLE logo
CLE
W
20-10
+10
-14
L
9
18
PIT logo
PIT@
W
30-17
+13
+3
W
20
19
NE logo
NE@
L
31-35
-4
+7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.09
5th
EPA / Pass
+0.13
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.07
13th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
23rd
EPA / Rush
-0.18
3rd
Sack EPA
-2.15
1st
Turnover EPA
-5.09
26th
Point Differential
+6.4
5th
Points For
26.1
8th
Points Against
19.7
7th
Total Yards
364.8
12th
Passing Yards
144.6
30th
Rushing Yards
122.8
9th
Total Yards Allowed
344.7
13th
Passing Allowed
218.2
27th
Rushing Allowed
83.0
3rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
18th
4th Down
59%
5th
Red Zone
53%
14th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
17th
4th Down
41%
11th
Red Zone
45%
2nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
5th
Created
1.5
20th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
10th
Created
0.8
21st

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.7
9th