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BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2015 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-11
nfelo Rating
137828th
Point Diff / Game
-4.624th
Net EPA / Play
-0.07522nd

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DEN logo
DEN@
L
13-19
-6
+4.5
L
-11
2
OAK logo
OAK@
L
33-37
-4
-6
L
4
3
CIN logo
CIN
L
24-28
-4
-1.5
L
-1
4
PIT logo
PIT@
W
23-20
+3
-3
P
-3
5
CLE logo
CLE
L
30-33
-3
-6
L
-9
6
SF logo
SF@
L
20-25
-5
-2.5
L
-2
7
ARI logo
ARI@
L
18-26
-8
+10
W
-4
8
LAC logo
LAC
W
29-26
+3
-4.5
L
-7
9BYE WEEK
10
JAX logo
JAX
L
20-22
-2
-4.5
L
-35
11
LAR logo
LAR
W
16-13
+3
-3
P
-84
12
CLE logo
CLE@
W
33-27
+6
+6
W
14
13
MIA logo
MIA@
L
13-15
-2
+3.5
W
-81
14
SEA logo
SEA
L
06-35
-29
+10.5
L
0
15
KC logo
KC
L
14-34
-20
+6.5
L
30
16
PIT logo
PIT
W
20-17
+3
+11.5
W
23
17
CIN logo
CIN@
L
16-24
-8
+9.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
22nd
EPA / Pass
-0.03
23rd
EPA / Rush
-0.14
26th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.02
21st
EPA / Pass
+0.12
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
8th
Sack EPA
-3.08
4th
Turnover EPA
-8.20
8th
Point Differential
-4.6
24th
Points For
20.5
24th
Points Against
25.1
24th
Total Yards
359.4
14th
Passing Yards
184.5
25th
Rushing Yards
92.4
26th
Total Yards Allowed
337.6
10th
Passing Allowed
214.9
16th
Rushing Allowed
103.9
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
21st
4th Down
50%
15th
Red Zone
49%
24th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
20th
4th Down
44%
11th
Red Zone
53%
11th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.7
23rd
Created
0.9
29th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
31st
Created
0.4
32nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
3rd
Created
0.6
15th