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  4. 2012
CAR logo

Carolina Panthers

2012 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
150216th
Point Diff / Game
-0.418th
Net EPA / Play
-0.00618th

2012 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TB logo
TB@
L
10-16
-6
-3
L
-15
2
NO logo
NO
W
35-27
+8
+3
W
16
3
NYG logo
NYG
L
07-36
-29
-3
L
-25
4
ATL logo
ATL@
L
28-30
-2
+7
W
22
5
SEA logo
SEA
L
12-16
-4
-1.5
L
-47
6BYE WEEK
7
DAL logo
DAL
L
14-19
-5
+2.5
L
-41
8
CHI logo
CHI@
L
22-23
-1
+7
W
14
9
WAS logo
WAS@
W
21-13
+8
+3
W
24
10
DEN logo
DEN
L
14-36
-22
+3.5
L
-23
11
TB logo
TB
L
21-27
-6
+1
L
-4
12
PHI logo
PHI@
W
30-22
+8
-3
W
38
13
KC logo
KC@
L
21-27
-6
-5.5
L
-1
14
ATL logo
ATL
W
30-20
+10
+3
W
26
15
LAC logo
LAC@
W
31-07
+24
+3
W
8
16
OAK logo
OAK
W
17-06
+11
-9.5
W
-1
17
NO logo
NO@
W
44-38
+6
+4
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.05
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.11
11th
EPA / Rush
+0.00
6th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.05
22nd
EPA / Pass
+0.05
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
19th
Sack EPA
-2.82
7th
Turnover EPA
-5.16
25th
Point Differential
-0.4
18th
Points For
22.3
18th
Points Against
22.7
18th
Total Yards
360.7
13th
Passing Yards
217.6
11th
Rushing Yards
130.5
9th
Total Yards Allowed
333.2
10th
Passing Allowed
208.9
21st
Rushing Allowed
110.1
13th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
6th
4th Down
33%
27th
Red Zone
56%
10th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
7th
4th Down
53%
20th
Red Zone
54%
18th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
7th
Created
1.6
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
7th
Created
0.7
23rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.9
3rd