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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2012 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-7
nfelo Rating
146520th
Point Diff / Game
+1.014th
Net EPA / Play
+0.02314th

2012 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
JAX logo
JAX
W
26-23
+3
-3.5
L
3
2
IND logo
IND@
L
20-23
-3
-3
L
9
3
SF logo
SF
W
24-13
+11
+7
W
20
4
DET logo
DET@
W
20-13
+7
+3.5
W
8
5
TEN logo
TEN
W
30-07
+23
-6
W
24
6
WAS logo
WAS@
L
26-38
-12
-2
L
-0
7
ARI logo
ARI
W
21-14
+7
-7
P
-13
8
TB logo
TB
L
17-36
-19
-5.5
L
-15
9
SEA logo
SEA@
L
20-30
-10
+4.5
L
-14
10
DET logo
DET
W
34-24
+10
+3
W
22
11BYE WEEK
12
CHI logo
CHI@
L
10-28
-18
+6.5
L
-20
13
GB logo
GB@
L
14-23
-9
+7
L
3
14
CHI logo
CHI
W
21-14
+7
+1.5
W
14
15
LAR logo
LAR@
W
36-22
+14
+2.5
W
16
16
HOU logo
HOU@
W
23-06
+17
+7.5
W
51
17
GB logo
GB
W
37-34
+3
+3
W
-47
18
GB logo
GB@
L
10-24
-14
+11
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.03
14th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
22nd
EPA / Rush
+0.02
4th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.01
15th
EPA / Pass
+0.09
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
5th
Sack EPA
-3.71
18th
Turnover EPA
-5.76
20th
Point Differential
+1.0
14th
Points For
22.9
17th
Points Against
21.9
16th
Total Yards
336.1
20th
Passing Yards
152.5
30th
Rushing Yards
164.9
3rd
Total Yards Allowed
348.9
15th
Passing Allowed
244.8
30th
Rushing Allowed
104.1
10th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
20th
4th Down
54%
16th
Red Zone
53%
17th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
24th
4th Down
57%
24th
Red Zone
62%
29th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
12th
Created
1.4
22nd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
8th
Created
0.6
29th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
21st
Created
0.8
9th