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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2014 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
148120th
Point Diff / Game
-1.118th
Net EPA / Play
-0.02119th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAR logo
LAR@
W
34-06
+28
+3
W
24
2
NE logo
NE
L
07-30
-23
+3
L
-34
3
NO logo
NO@
L
09-20
-11
+10
L
27
4
ATL logo
ATL
W
41-28
+13
+6
W
-20
5
GB logo
GB@
L
10-42
-32
+9.5
L
23
6
DET logo
DET
L
03-17
-14
-1.5
L
-28
7
BUF logo
BUF@
L
16-17
-1
+6.5
W
-3
8
TB logo
TB@
W
19-13
+6
+1.5
W
13
9
WAS logo
WAS
W
29-26
+3
2
10BYE WEEK
11
CHI logo
CHI@
L
13-21
-8
+2.5
L
-42
12
GB logo
GB
L
21-24
-3
+7.5
W
12
13
CAR logo
CAR
W
31-13
+18
-2.5
W
10
14
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
30-24
+6
-4.5
W
-5
15
DET logo
DET@
L
14-16
-2
+8
W
10
16
MIA logo
MIA@
L
35-37
-2
+4.5
W
17
17
CHI logo
CHI
W
13-09
+4
-7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
18th
EPA / Pass
-0.06
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
2nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
18th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
28th
Sack EPA
-4.59
23rd
Turnover EPA
-5.61
20th
Point Differential
-1.1
18th
Points For
20.3
20th
Points Against
21.4
11th
Total Yards
316.0
26th
Passing Yards
172.3
26th
Rushing Yards
113.0
14th
Total Yards Allowed
344.7
14th
Passing Allowed
193.1
12th
Rushing Allowed
121.4
24th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
21st
4th Down
50%
14th
Red Zone
54%
13th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
20th
4th Down
64%
31st
Red Zone
54%
18th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
8th
Created
1.2
25th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
26th
Created
0.8
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.1
1st
Created
0.4
27th