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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2015 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-6
nfelo Rating
15689th
Point Diff / Game
+3.610th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0679th

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SF logo
SF@
L
03-20
-17
-2.5
L
-12
2
DET logo
DET
W
26-16
+10
-2.5
W
42
3
LAC logo
LAC
W
31-14
+17
-2
W
4
4
DEN logo
DEN@
L
20-23
-3
+7
W
11
5BYE WEEK
6
KC logo
KC
W
16-10
+6
-3.5
W
-3
7
DET logo
DET@
W
28-19
+9
+1
W
14
8
CHI logo
CHI@
W
23-20
+3
-1.5
W
2
9
LAR logo
LAR
W
21-18
+3
-1.5
W
-4
10
OAK logo
OAK@
W
30-14
+16
+3
W
9
11
GB logo
GB
L
13-30
-17
-7
12
ATL logo
ATL@
W
20-10
+10
+2
W
8
13
SEA logo
SEA
L
07-38
-31
+3
L
-50
14
ARI logo
ARI@
L
20-23
-3
+10
W
16
15
CHI logo
CHI
W
38-17
+21
-4
W
25
16
NYG logo
NYG
W
49-17
+32
-7
W
33
17
GB logo
GB@
W
20-13
+7
+3
W
-3
18
SEA logo
SEA
L
09-10
-1
+4.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
11th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
4th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.05
12th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
14th
Sack EPA
-4.20
18th
Turnover EPA
-4.03
29th
Point Differential
+3.6
10th
Points For
22.0
19th
Points Against
18.4
5th
Total Yards
313.2
29th
Passing Yards
162.2
31st
Rushing Yards
133.6
5th
Total Yards Allowed
337.4
9th
Passing Allowed
228.8
26th
Rushing Allowed
108.5
17th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
22nd
4th Down
50%
15th
Red Zone
48%
25th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
4th
4th Down
44%
10th
Red Zone
45%
5th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
6th
Created
1.3
23rd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
4th
Created
0.8
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
13th
Created
0.5
25th