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MIN logo

Minnesota Vikings

2018 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-7-1
nfelo Rating
158910th
Point Diff / Game
+1.212th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00614th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SF logo
SF
W
24-16
+8
-6.5
W
-3
2
GB logo
GB@
T
29-29
0
-1.5
L
9
3
BUF logo
BUF
L
06-27
-21
-16.5
L
-16
4
LAR logo
LAR@
L
31-38
-7
+7
P
16
5
PHI logo
PHI@
W
23-21
+2
+3.5
W
7
6
ARI logo
ARI
W
27-17
+10
-9.5
W
-34
7
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
37-17
+20
-3.5
W
9
8
NO logo
NO
L
20-30
-10
+2.5
L
-38
9
DET logo
DET
W
24-09
+15
-5
W
17
10BYE WEEK
11
CHI logo
CHI@
L
20-25
-5
+2.5
L
-16
12
GB logo
GB
W
24-17
+7
-3.5
W
16
13
NE logo
NE@
L
10-24
-14
+6
L
-21
14
SEA logo
SEA@
L
07-21
-14
+3
L
-14
15
MIA logo
MIA
W
41-17
+24
-7.5
W
6
16
DET logo
DET@
W
27-09
+18
-6.5
W
35
17
CHI logo
CHI
L
10-24
-14
-6
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.12
27th
EPA / Pass
-0.03
25th
EPA / Rush
-0.20
32nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.13
2nd
EPA / Pass
-0.16
1st
EPA / Rush
-0.10
6th
Sack EPA
-5.59
24th
Turnover EPA
-6.71
10th
Point Differential
+1.2
12th
Points For
22.5
18th
Points Against
21.3
10th
Total Yards
345.9
20th
Passing Yards
252.6
6th
Rushing Yards
93.3
29th
Total Yards Allowed
310.3
4th
Passing Allowed
156.8
3rd
Rushing Allowed
113.6
14th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
26th
4th Down
43%
29th
Red Zone
54%
21st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
31%
1st
4th Down
47%
6th
Red Zone
45%
3rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
16th
Created
1.2
18th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
8th
Created
0.8
20th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
25th
Created
0.4
19th