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  4. 2009
PHI logo

Philadelphia Eagles

2009 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-6
nfelo Rating
16505th
Point Diff / Game
+4.210th
Net EPA / Play
+0.07410th

2009 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CAR logo
CAR@
W
38-10
+28
-2.5
W
-54
2
NO logo
NO
L
22-48
-26
+3
L
-63
3
KC logo
KC
W
34-14
+20
-7.5
W
69
4BYE WEEK
5
TB logo
TB
W
33-14
+19
-15.5
W
20
6
OAK logo
OAK@
L
09-13
-4
-14.5
L
-21
7
WAS logo
WAS@
W
27-17
+10
-8.5
W
18
8
NYG logo
NYG
W
40-17
+23
+2.5
W
20
9
DAL logo
DAL
L
16-20
-4
-3
L
-16
10
LAC logo
LAC@
L
23-31
-8
+1
L
5
11
CHI logo
CHI@
W
24-20
+4
-4
P
14
12
WAS logo
WAS
W
27-24
+3
-10
L
-10
13
ATL logo
ATL@
W
34-07
+27
-5
W
63
14
NYG logo
NYG@
W
45-38
+7
-1
W
15
15
SF logo
SF
W
27-13
+14
-7.5
W
8
16
DEN logo
DEN
W
30-27
+3
-7
L
-9
17
DAL logo
DAL@
L
00-24
-24
+3
L
-22
18
DAL logo
DAL@
L
14-34
-20
+4
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
10th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.05
9th
EPA / Pass
-0.06
9th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
12th
Sack EPA
-4.94
27th
Turnover EPA
-6.35
23rd
Point Differential
+4.2
10th
Points For
26.1
5th
Points Against
21.8
19th
Total Yards
357.1
11th
Passing Yards
219.8
5th
Rushing Yards
100.0
24th
Total Yards Allowed
327.4
16th
Passing Allowed
217.2
32nd
Rushing Allowed
110.2
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
24th
4th Down
38%
28th
Red Zone
46%
27th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
4th
4th Down
57%
25th
Red Zone
56%
25th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.7
17th
Created
2.2
7th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
8th
Created
1.5
4th

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
27th
Created
0.7
14th