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  4. 2012
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2012 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
154015th
Point Diff / Game
+1.413th
Net EPA / Play
+0.02613th

2012 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DEN logo
DEN@
L
19-31
-12
+1.5
L
-25
2
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
27-10
+17
-4.5
W
23
3
OAK logo
OAK@
L
31-34
-3
-3.5
L
11
4BYE WEEK
5
PHI logo
PHI
W
16-14
+2
-4
L
-6
6
TEN logo
TEN@
L
23-26
-3
-6
L
-8
7
CIN logo
CIN@
W
24-17
+7
-1
W
5
8
WAS logo
WAS
W
27-12
+15
-4.5
W
14
9
NYG logo
NYG@
W
24-20
+4
+3.5
W
3
10
KC logo
KC
W
16-13
+3
-12.5
L
-98
11
BAL logo
BAL
L
10-13
-3
+3
P
-7
12
CLE logo
CLE@
L
14-20
-6
-1
L
-25
13
BAL logo
BAL@
W
23-20
+3
+7
W
101
14
LAC logo
LAC
L
24-34
-10
-7
L
-27
15
DAL logo
DAL@
L
24-27
-3
-2.5
L
1
16
CIN logo
CIN
L
10-13
-3
-3.5
L
-19
17
CLE logo
CLE
W
24-10
+14
-10
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.00
18th
EPA / Pass
+0.07
14th
EPA / Rush
-0.14
29th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
7th
EPA / Pass
-0.05
7th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
10th
Sack EPA
-4.34
25th
Turnover EPA
-6.77
13th
Point Differential
+1.4
13th
Points For
21.0
22nd
Points Against
19.6
5th
Total Yards
332.9
21st
Passing Yards
223.1
10th
Rushing Yards
96.1
26th
Total Yards Allowed
275.9
1st
Passing Allowed
178.8
5th
Rushing Allowed
90.6
2nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
42%
9th
4th Down
46%
20th
Red Zone
55%
12th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
4th
4th Down
73%
29th
Red Zone
51%
11th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
25th
Created
1.3
24th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
12th
Created
0.6
27th

Fumbles

Lost
1.0
28th
Created
0.6
16th