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  4. 2013
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2013 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
153712th
Point Diff / Game
+0.614th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00815th

2013 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
TEN logo
TEN
L
09-16
-7
-6
L
-33
2
CIN logo
CIN@
L
10-20
-10
+6.5
L
-19
3
CHI logo
CHI
L
23-40
-17
+2.5
L
-21
4
MIN logo
MIN@
L
27-34
-7
-3
L
-5
5BYE WEEK
6
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
19-06
+13
-1.5
W
43
7
BAL logo
BAL
W
19-16
+3
-2
W
13
8
OAK logo
OAK@
L
18-21
-3
-2.5
L
-15
9
NE logo
NE@
L
31-55
-24
+6
L
-7
10
BUF logo
BUF
W
23-10
+13
-3
W
-1
11
DET logo
DET
W
37-27
+10
+3
W
21
12
CLE logo
CLE@
W
27-11
+16
+2.5
W
14
13
BAL logo
BAL@
L
20-22
-2
+3
W
11
14
MIA logo
MIA
L
28-34
-6
-3
L
-10
15
CIN logo
CIN
W
30-20
+10
+2.5
W
8
16
GB logo
GB@
W
38-31
+7
-1
W
14
17
CLE logo
CLE
W
20-07
+13
-9.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.01
18th
EPA / Pass
+0.10
9th
EPA / Rush
-0.16
29th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.00
13th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.01
24th
Sack EPA
-5.05
29th
Turnover EPA
-6.57
16th
Point Differential
+0.6
14th
Points For
23.7
16th
Points Against
23.1
13th
Total Yards
337.6
20th
Passing Yards
221.4
14th
Rushing Yards
86.6
27th
Total Yards Allowed
337.8
13th
Passing Allowed
204.7
14th
Rushing Allowed
115.6
21st

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
17th
4th Down
60%
9th
Red Zone
52%
20th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
20th
4th Down
45%
17th
Red Zone
56%
19th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
17th
Created
1.3
27th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
13th
Created
0.6
29th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
17th
Created
0.6
16th