SF49ers
4-1
31
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
15 mph
37
CHIBears
4-1
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
8
0
8
3
19
Bears
0
7
7
15
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
350
366
Total Plays
60
78
Yards / Play
5.8
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.00
+0.04
Passing Yards
267
--
Comp/Att
21/29(72%)
30/47(64%)
Yards / Pass
9.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.06
Rushing Yards
83
137
Rush Attempts
28
31
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
29
Passing 1st downs
14
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
45%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-11.59
-24.08
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-2
--
Sack EPA
-2.62
--
Penalties
8
3
Penalty Yards
78
17
Penalty EPA
-5.75
-2.15
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
2
Yards / Game
5
14
Passing Yards / Game
13
28
Rushing Yards / Game
3
2
EPA
EPA / Play
3
3
EPA / Pass
3
7
EPA / Rush
2
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
31
Interceptions / Game
3
9
Fumbles / Game
1
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
9
4th Down Efficiency
9
3
RZ Efficiency
2
12
Bears Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
8
Yards / Game
27
15
Passing Yards / Game
30
19
Rushing Yards / Game
16
9
EPA
EPA / Play
18
15
EPA / Pass
23
15
EPA / Rush
15
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
27
Interceptions / Game
15
5
Fumbles / Game
2
26
Turnover EPA / Game
15
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
19
4th Down Efficiency
15
26
RZ Efficiency
18
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
6-4
SU
5-3-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U