SF49ers
3-8
10
TBD
New Era Field
38°F
15 mph
3
BUFBills
6-5
TBD
New Era Field
38°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
7
3
0
0
10
Bills
0
0
3
0
3
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
195
350
Total Plays
55
66
Yards / Play
3.5
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.22
Passing Yards
133
194
Comp/Att
14/23(61%)
21/38(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.29
-0.15
Rushing Yards
62
156
Rush Attempts
29
25
Yards / Rush
2.1
6.2
EPA / Rush
-0.52
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
18
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
47%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.87
-2.17
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-28
-11
Sack EPA
-3.66
-2.93
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
--
43
Penalty EPA
--
-5.44
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
14
Yards / Game
21
13
Passing Yards / Game
5
17
Rushing Yards / Game
27
22
EPA
EPA / Play
22
11
EPA / Pass
23
16
EPA / Rush
26
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
10
Interceptions / Game
26
28
Fumbles / Game
32
7
Turnover EPA / Game
1
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
9
4th Down Efficiency
20
16
RZ Efficiency
19
5
Bills Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
23
Yards / Game
25
15
Passing Yards / Game
22
10
Rushing Yards / Game
13
14
EPA
EPA / Play
15
18
EPA / Pass
24
25
EPA / Rush
9
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
1
Interceptions / Game
17
23
Fumbles / Game
29
26
Turnover EPA / Game
7
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
11
4th Down Efficiency
22
24
RZ Efficiency
22
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U