SF49ers
6-9
9
TBD
Mile High Stadium
45°F
7 mph
38
DENBroncos
10-5
TBD
Mile High Stadium
45°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
0
0
0
9
9
Broncos
0
17
21
0
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
192
362
Total Plays
60
75
Yards / Play
3.2
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.17
+0.23
Passing Yards
139
193
Comp/Att
18/39(46%)
20/30(67%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.26
+0.25
Rushing Yards
46
159
Rush Attempts
15
42
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.26
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
28
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
6
3rd Down %
29%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
50%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.72
-3.47
Sacks
6
4
Sack Yards
-42
-16
Sack EPA
-9.23
-4.25
Penalties
11
8
Penalty Yards
110
90
Penalty EPA
-7.96
-6.53
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
21
Yards / Game
4
20
Passing Yards / Game
12
23
Rushing Yards / Game
17
7
EPA
EPA / Play
5
15
EPA / Pass
3
15
EPA / Rush
10
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
23
Interceptions / Game
2
2
Fumbles / Game
2
7
Turnover EPA / Game
28
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
6
4th Down Efficiency
12
9
RZ Efficiency
3
9
Broncos Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
28
Yards / Game
2
28
Passing Yards / Game
2
29
Rushing Yards / Game
4
17
EPA
EPA / Play
6
30
EPA / Pass
6
26
EPA / Rush
4
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
29
Interceptions / Game
4
24
Fumbles / Game
16
26
Turnover EPA / Game
19
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
19
4th Down Efficiency
12
26
RZ Efficiency
9
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U