nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. 49ers @ cardinals week 4, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

SF logo
SF49ers
1-2
14
TBD
Azteca Stadium
66°F
13 mph
31
ARICardinals
0-3
ARI logo
TBD
Azteca Stadium
66°F
13 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
2
0
0
0
2
Cardinals
0
12
6
13
31

Game Statistics

General
49ers logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
168
463
Total Plays
50
84
Yards / Play
3.4
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.37
-0.01
Passing Yards
117
366
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
32/47(68%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
7.8
EPA / Pass
-0.53
+0.29
Rushing Yards
51
97
Rush Attempts
14
34
Yards / Rush
3.6
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.62
Downs & Conversions
49ers logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
8
24
Passing 1st downs
7
17
Rushing 1st downs
1
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
33%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
19
Red Zone %
NaN%
17%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
--
6
Negative Plays
49ers logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
3
2
Turnover EPA
-12.59
-18.29
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-43
-19
Sack EPA
-7.88
-9.32
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
52
37
Penalty EPA
-6.75
-3.93

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

49ers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
49ers logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
30
26
Yards / Game
32
8
Passing Yards / Game
31
6
Rushing Yards / Game
17
10

EPA

EPA / Play
32
21
EPA / Pass
32
10
EPA / Rush
19
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
8
Interceptions / Game
27
20
Fumbles / Game
23
19
Turnover EPA / Game
15
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
4
4th Down Efficiency
6
9
RZ Efficiency
29
23
Cardinals Offense vs 49ers Defense
Cardinals logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
17
30
Yards / Game
7
32
Passing Yards / Game
1
32
Rushing Yards / Game
32
18

EPA

EPA / Play
19
24
EPA / Pass
15
32
EPA / Rush
32
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
5
Interceptions / Game
27
14
Fumbles / Game
23
29
Turnover EPA / Game
3
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
18
4th Down Efficiency
28
22
RZ Efficiency
31
16

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SF logo

49ers

2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/21
-32
L
L
P
11/28
-7
L
L
P
12/05
-10
L
W
P
12/12
3
W
W
P
12/18
-10
L
L
P
12/26
-34
L
L
P
01/02
-14
L
L
P
09/11
3
W
W
P
09/18
-39
L
L
P
09/25
-3
L
W
P
ARI logo

Cardinals

2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/21
-25
L
L
P
11/28
-10
L
L
P
12/05
-14
L
L
P
12/12
-3
L
L
P
12/19
24
W
W
P
12/26
-3
L
W
P
01/02
5
W
W
P
09/11
-23
L
L
P
09/18
-5
L
L
P
09/25
-25
L
L
P