SF49ers
2-2
10
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
017
ARICardinals
4-0
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
0
0
7
3
10
Cardinals
7
3
0
7
17
Spread
-5.5
Total
UNDER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
338
304
Total Plays
59
60
Yards / Play
5.7
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.08
Passing Yards
186
210
Comp/Att
15/29(52%)
22/31(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.23
-0.00
Rushing Yards
152
94
Rush Attempts
28
27
Yards / Rush
5.4
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
27%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.60
-4.93
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-6
-29
Sack EPA
-5.87
-3.97
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
60
62
Penalty EPA
-5.45
-10.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model63.0%
Spread Pick
49ers+5.5
Expected Value
+5.0%
Cover Probability
55.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+50
Home nfelo
1,549
Away nfelo
1,578
Home Field
+37.7
Base HFA
+42.0
Divisional Adj
-18.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.7
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+41.0
Home QB Adjustment
+19.3
Away QB Adjustment
-21.7
Market Regression
-10.2
Final Difference
92.3
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
T. Lance
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-21.7
No recent game data available
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+19.3
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
16
Yards / Game
11
12
Passing Yards / Game
26
10
Rushing Yards / Game
7
21
EPA
EPA / Play
11
9
EPA / Pass
8
15
EPA / Rush
15
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
15
Interceptions / Game
20
19
Fumbles / Game
30
2
Turnover EPA / Game
19
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
13
4th Down Efficiency
24
9
RZ Efficiency
6
22
Cardinals Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
5
Yards / Game
9
4
Passing Yards / Game
10
19
Rushing Yards / Game
14
6
EPA
EPA / Play
14
13
EPA / Pass
11
13
EPA / Rush
12
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
24
Interceptions / Game
10
26
Fumbles / Game
1
15
Turnover EPA / Game
24
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
21
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
14
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U