SF49ers
10-7
23
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
017
DALCowboys
12-5
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
10
6
7
0
23
Cowboys
0
7
0
10
17
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
51
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
341
307
Total Plays
63
70
Yards / Play
5.4
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.13
Passing Yards
--
230
Comp/Att
16/25(64%)
24/44(55%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.23
Rushing Yards
169
77
Rush Attempts
38
21
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
46%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.08
-4.27
Sacks
--
5
Sack Yards
--
-40
Sack EPA
--
-7.30
Penalties
9
14
Penalty Yards
58
89
Penalty EPA
-7.97
-12.48
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model65.8%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-3.0
Expected Value
+9.5%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+157
Home nfelo
1,698
Away nfelo
1,606
Home Field
+42.4
Base HFA
+36.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+12.6
Time Adj
-6.5
Net QB Adjustment
+8.1
Home QB Adjustment
+8.4
Away QB Adjustment
+0.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
113.9
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
J. Garoppolo
Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+0.3
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+8.4
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
8
Yards / Game
11
18
Passing Yards / Game
26
9
Rushing Yards / Game
7
20
EPA
EPA / Play
11
2
EPA / Pass
8
1
EPA / Rush
15
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
20
Interceptions / Game
20
1
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
19
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
2
4th Down Efficiency
24
25
RZ Efficiency
6
21
Cowboys Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
5
Yards / Game
2
4
Passing Yards / Game
7
19
Rushing Yards / Game
9
6
EPA
EPA / Play
6
13
EPA / Pass
4
13
EPA / Rush
20
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
24
Interceptions / Game
7
26
Fumbles / Game
12
15
Turnover EPA / Game
20
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
21
4th Down Efficiency
12
5
RZ Efficiency
5
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U