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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. 49ers @ giants week 7, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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    +EV NFL Sides
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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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SF logo
SF49ers
2-3
15
TBD
Giants Stadium
69°F
5 mph
33
NYGGiants
4-2
NYG logo
TBD
Giants Stadium
69°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
0
7
0
6
13
Giants
6
13
1
7
27

Game Statistics

General
49ers logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
267
279
Total Plays
63
64
Yards / Play
4.2
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.23
+0.07
Passing Yards
164
139
Comp/Att
23/39(59%)
18/32(56%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
4.3
EPA / Pass
-0.48
-0.05
Rushing Yards
103
140
Rush Attempts
18
31
Yards / Rush
5.7
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
49ers logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
20
21
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
31%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
49ers logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-26.77
-4.65
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-45
-7
Sack EPA
-16.92
-1.86
Penalties
13
8
Penalty Yards
82
--
Penalty EPA
-3.95
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

49ers Offense vs Giants Defense
49ers logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
32
14
Yards / Game
32
7
Passing Yards / Game
27
23
Rushing Yards / Game
27
6

EPA

EPA / Play
32
13
EPA / Pass
32
13
EPA / Rush
31
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
20
Interceptions / Game
20
18
Fumbles / Game
26
16
Turnover EPA / Game
6
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
10
4th Down Efficiency
31
16
RZ Efficiency
16
29
Giants Offense vs 49ers Defense
Giants logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
14
20
Yards / Game
17
25
Passing Yards / Game
10
15
Rushing Yards / Game
6
22

EPA

EPA / Play
11
15
EPA / Pass
19
22
EPA / Rush
6
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
1
Interceptions / Game
16
30
Fumbles / Game
17
14
Turnover EPA / Game
11
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
17
4th Down Efficiency
26
19
RZ Efficiency
13
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SF logo

49ers

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/03
-24
L
L
P
12/10
-11
L
L
P
12/14
10
W
W
P
12/24
-6
L
L
P
12/31
3
W
W
P
09/10
3
W
L
P
09/16
1
W
W
P
09/23
-21
L
L
P
09/30
-20
L
L
P
10/07
-2
L
W
P
NYG logo

Giants

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/17
-14
L
L
P
12/24
-23
L
L
P
12/30
6
W
W
P
01/07
-3
L
W
P
09/09
-10
L
L
P
09/16
-22
L
L
P
09/23
7
W
W
P
09/30
13
W
W
P
10/07
11
W
W
P
10/15
21
W
W
P