SF logo
SF
5-4
16
10
NYG
3-6
NYG logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
42°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
3
6
7
0
16
Giants
7
0
3
0
10

Spread

SF logo
-4

Total

UNDER
45

Game Statistics

General
49ers logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
333
330
Total Plays
68
68
Yards / Play
4.9
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.26
Passing Yards
185
265
Comp/Att
15/30(50%)
22/45(49%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.33
Rushing Yards
148
65
Rush Attempts
37
21
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
49ers logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
9
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
43%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
49ers logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
0
5
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.88
-19.26
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-15
Sack EPA
-1.50
-3.54
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
35
54
Penalty EPA
+1.06
-3.89

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SFFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-2.5

Win Probability

Market65.2%
Model57.3%
Spread Pick
NYG logo
Giants+4.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+14.6%
Cover Probability
58.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-4
Home nfelo
1,434
Away nfelo
1,589
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+33.8
Home QB Adjustment
+20.2
Away QB Adjustment
-13.5
Market Regression
-13.7
Final Difference
-51.3
Model Spread
+2.5

Team Matchup Ranks

49ers Offense vs Giants Defense
49ers logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
25
22
Yards / Game
21
29
Passing Yards / Game
27
31
Rushing Yards / Game
4
30

EPA

EPA / Play
20
20
EPA / Pass
18
16
EPA / Rush
20
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
23
Interceptions / Game
4
11
Fumbles / Game
19
10
Turnover EPA / Game
17
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
9
RZ Efficiency
29
8
Giants Offense vs 49ers Defense
Giants logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
13
10
Yards / Game
11
5
Passing Yards / Game
12
14
Rushing Yards / Game
23
7

EPA

EPA / Play
16
18
EPA / Pass
13
15
EPA / Rush
26
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
3
Interceptions / Game
15
1
Fumbles / Game
22
25
Turnover EPA / Game
9
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
26
4th Down Efficiency
31
19
RZ Efficiency
8
28