SF49ers
0-1
27
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
030
NOSaints
0-1
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
3
14
3
7
27
Saints
10
10
3
7
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
370
302
Total Plays
68
61
Yards / Play
5.4
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.12
Passing Yards
190
256
Comp/Att
18/32(56%)
25/34(74%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.39
Rushing Yards
180
46
Rush Attempts
34
24
Yards / Rush
5.3
1.9
EPA / Rush
+0.11
-0.53
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
17
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
11
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
38%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-7.54
-5.48
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-15
-23
Sack EPA
-3.12
-4.25
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
125
86
Penalty EPA
-8.58
-10.49
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
26
Yards / Game
26
32
Passing Yards / Game
14
18
Rushing Yards / Game
30
29
EPA
EPA / Play
30
23
EPA / Pass
28
24
EPA / Rush
30
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
12
Interceptions / Game
25
25
Fumbles / Game
31
1
Turnover EPA / Game
2
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
17
4th Down Efficiency
1
32
RZ Efficiency
26
14
Saints Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
32
Yards / Game
15
24
Passing Yards / Game
5
19
Rushing Yards / Game
25
21
EPA
EPA / Play
14
24
EPA / Pass
15
28
EPA / Rush
26
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
3
Interceptions / Game
14
29
Fumbles / Game
11
16
Turnover EPA / Game
10
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
23
4th Down Efficiency
14
26
RZ Efficiency
5
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U