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  1. nfelo...
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  3. 49ers @ saints week 10, 2000

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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SF logo
SF49ers
2-7
15
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0
31
NOSaints
5-3
NO logo
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
0
0
7
8
15
Saints
7
21
3
0
31

Game Statistics

General
49ers logo
Saints logo
Total Yards
348
360
Total Plays
55
69
Yards / Play
6.3
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.31
Passing Yards
--
249
Comp/Att
22/34(65%)
21/27(78%)
Yards / Pass
--
9.2
EPA / Pass
+0.16
+0.58
Rushing Yards
86
111
Rush Attempts
21
38
Yards / Rush
4.1
2.9
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
49ers logo
Saints logo
1st Downs
19
25
Passing 1st downs
12
15
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
36%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
49ers logo
Saints logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.66
--
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-39
Sack EPA
--
-6.31
Penalties
14
10
Penalty Yards
97
54
Penalty EPA
-8.27
-4.25

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

49ers Offense vs Saints Defense
49ers logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
5
14
Yards / Game
4
13
Passing Yards / Game
12
14
Rushing Yards / Game
17
9

EPA

EPA / Play
5
13
EPA / Pass
3
10
EPA / Rush
10
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
16
Interceptions / Game
2
9
Fumbles / Game
2
14
Turnover EPA / Game
28
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
24
4th Down Efficiency
12
6
RZ Efficiency
3
15
Saints Offense vs 49ers Defense
Saints logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
10
28
Yards / Game
12
28
Passing Yards / Game
9
29
Rushing Yards / Game
14
17

EPA

EPA / Play
13
30
EPA / Pass
8
26
EPA / Rush
15
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
29
Interceptions / Game
13
24
Fumbles / Game
18
26
Turnover EPA / Game
25
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
19
4th Down Efficiency
7
26
RZ Efficiency
14
28

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SF logo

49ers

2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/03
-5
L
W
P
09/03
-8
L
L
P
09/10
-16
L
L
P
09/17
-17
L
P
P
09/24
17
W
W
P
10/01
7
W
W
P
10/08
-6
L
L
P
10/15
-3
L
W
P
10/22
-18
L
L
P
10/29
-10
L
L
P
NO logo

Saints

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/24
7
W
W
P
01/02
-32
L
L
P
09/03
-4
L
L
P
09/10
1
W
W
P
09/17
-10
L
L
P
09/24
-14
L
L
P
10/08
21
W
W
P
10/15
18
W
W
P
10/22
2
W
W
P
10/29
11
W
W
P