SF49ers
-
6
TBD
Lumen Field
64°F
11 mph
31
SEASeahawks
-
TBD
Lumen Field
64°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
3
3
0
0
6
Seahawks
0
14
8
3
25
Spread
+3
Total
PUSH
37
P
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
263
242
Total Plays
66
47
Yards / Play
4.0
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.33
+0.06
Passing Yards
214
165
Comp/Att
26/45(58%)
18/23(78%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
7.2
EPA / Pass
-0.31
+0.26
Rushing Yards
49
77
Rush Attempts
19
23
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.35
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
14
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
7%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.91
-4.57
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-11
-5
Sack EPA
-1.68
-1.44
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
60
35
Penalty EPA
-7.76
-4.36
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model55.1%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+3.0
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-0
Home nfelo
1,418
Away nfelo
1,475
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+0.6
Home QB Adjustment
-11.0
Away QB Adjustment
-11.7
Market Regression
-35.9
Final Difference
-35.9
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
A. Smith
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-11.7
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-11.0
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
27
Yards / Game
24
30
Passing Yards / Game
20
24
Rushing Yards / Game
20
21
EPA
EPA / Play
24
25
EPA / Pass
23
29
EPA / Rush
15
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
17
Interceptions / Game
13
27
Fumbles / Game
3
20
Turnover EPA / Game
22
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
26
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
25
11
Seahawks Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
16
Yards / Game
26
13
Passing Yards / Game
25
26
Rushing Yards / Game
31
6
EPA
EPA / Play
22
13
EPA / Pass
24
18
EPA / Rush
24
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
6
Interceptions / Game
20
17
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
12
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
17
4th Down Efficiency
29
1
RZ Efficiency
26
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
5-5
SU
5-3-2
ATS
2-8
O/U
Seahawks
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U