SF49ers
5-6
17
TBD
Lumen Field
35°F
6 mph
20
SEASeahawks
4-7
TBD
Lumen Field
35°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
7
7
0
3
17
Seahawks
7
7
0
6
20
Spread
0
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
356
292
Total Plays
58
69
Yards / Play
6.1
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.03
Passing Yards
303
185
Comp/Att
27/45(60%)
26/35(74%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
5.3
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.22
Rushing Yards
53
107
Rush Attempts
12
29
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.74
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
17
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
1
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
8%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
1
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-7.16
+1.64
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-7
-20
Sack EPA
-1.73
-12.39
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
57
48
Penalty EPA
-8.21
-2.34
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-21
Home nfelo
1,442
Away nfelo
1,545
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+26.2
Home QB Adjustment
-5.3
Away QB Adjustment
-31.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
A. Smith
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-31.6
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-5.3
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
25
Yards / Game
27
23
Passing Yards / Game
18
5
Rushing Yards / Game
24
14
EPA
EPA / Play
23
21
EPA / Pass
21
28
EPA / Rush
20
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
11
Interceptions / Game
10
22
Fumbles / Game
6
23
Turnover EPA / Game
31
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
18
4th Down Efficiency
10
15
RZ Efficiency
6
21
Seahawks Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
4
Yards / Game
21
15
Passing Yards / Game
7
9
Rushing Yards / Game
26
6
EPA
EPA / Play
25
2
EPA / Pass
24
5
EPA / Rush
31
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
12
Interceptions / Game
24
10
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
10
4th Down Efficiency
22
4
RZ Efficiency
30
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
4-6
SU
6-2-2
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U