CHIBears
2-1
27
TBD
New Era Field
66°F
12 mph
33
BUFBills
1-2
TBD
New Era Field
66°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Bears
1
7
3
10
0
21
Bills
7
10
3
7
6
33
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
240
410
Total Plays
57
63
Yards / Play
4.2
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.19
Passing Yards
--
307
Comp/Att
19/31(61%)
28/36(78%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.26
+0.52
Rushing Yards
52
103
Rush Attempts
26
25
Yards / Rush
2.0
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.43
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
26
Passing 1st downs
9
19
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
43%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-10.93
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-21
Sack EPA
--
-1.94
Penalties
5
9
Penalty Yards
55
82
Penalty EPA
-4.94
-8.56
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
27
Yards / Game
29
14
Passing Yards / Game
17
6
Rushing Yards / Game
32
29
EPA
EPA / Play
27
26
EPA / Pass
27
17
EPA / Rush
27
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
2
Interceptions / Game
21
26
Fumbles / Game
25
24
Turnover EPA / Game
4
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
9
4th Down Efficiency
18
11
RZ Efficiency
8
32
Bills Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
25
Yards / Game
9
25
Passing Yards / Game
1
28
Rushing Yards / Game
23
27
EPA
EPA / Play
11
21
EPA / Pass
7
26
EPA / Rush
22
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
7
Interceptions / Game
12
30
Fumbles / Game
21
3
Turnover EPA / Game
5
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
10
4th Down Efficiency
11
25
RZ Efficiency
15
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U