CHIBears
2-7
3
TBD
New Era Field
40°F
10 mph
20
BUFBills
5-3
TBD
New Era Field
40°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
3
0
0
3
Bills
0
6
7
1
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
234
299
Total Plays
59
65
Yards / Play
4.0
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.41
-0.38
Passing Yards
135
194
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
18/29(62%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.68
-0.41
Rushing Yards
99
105
Rush Attempts
21
35
Yards / Rush
4.7
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
14
Passing 1st downs
8
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
31%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-20.99
-4.05
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-11
-6
Sack EPA
-10.90
-1.16
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
--
15
Penalty EPA
--
-1.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
22
Yards / Game
24
4
Passing Yards / Game
23
7
Rushing Yards / Game
21
6
EPA
EPA / Play
26
19
EPA / Pass
27
12
EPA / Rush
18
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
3
Interceptions / Game
13
17
Fumbles / Game
19
11
Turnover EPA / Game
13
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
12
4th Down Efficiency
20
23
RZ Efficiency
25
12
Bills Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
18
Yards / Game
8
17
Passing Yards / Game
6
25
Rushing Yards / Game
10
19
EPA
EPA / Play
24
15
EPA / Pass
13
17
EPA / Rush
23
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
21
Interceptions / Game
1
27
Fumbles / Game
11
26
Turnover EPA / Game
31
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
13
4th Down Efficiency
2
29
RZ Efficiency
17
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U