CHIBears
3-7
19
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
18°F
8 mph
10
DENBroncos
6-4
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
18°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
3
6
0
10
19
Broncos
7
0
3
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
217
365
Total Plays
68
59
Yards / Play
3.2
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.07
Passing Yards
111
165
Comp/Att
15/33(45%)
19/36(53%)
Yards / Pass
3.4
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.22
-0.29
Rushing Yards
106
200
Rush Attempts
33
21
Yards / Rush
3.2
9.5
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.44
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
24%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-15
-11
Sack EPA
-2.79
-2.99
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
29
114
Penalty EPA
-4.55
-9.19
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
12
Yards / Game
28
5
Passing Yards / Game
14
3
Rushing Yards / Game
18
6
EPA
EPA / Play
24
14
EPA / Pass
31
15
EPA / Rush
8
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
27
Interceptions / Game
25
32
Fumbles / Game
9
13
Turnover EPA / Game
17
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
4
4th Down Efficiency
2
18
RZ Efficiency
18
6
Broncos Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
21
Yards / Game
7
14
Passing Yards / Game
31
5
Rushing Yards / Game
1
16
EPA
EPA / Play
10
20
EPA / Pass
15
19
EPA / Rush
3
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
20
15
Fumbles / Game
2
32
Turnover EPA / Game
22
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
20
4th Down Efficiency
28
9
RZ Efficiency
7
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U