CHIBears
3-3
3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
66°F
12 mph
6
TBBuccaneers
2-3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
66°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
0
0
3
3
Buccaneers
3
3
0
0
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
225
Total Plays
70
57
Yards / Play
3.9
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.25
-0.27
Passing Yards
189
101
Comp/Att
19/44(43%)
16/27(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
3.7
EPA / Pass
-0.16
-0.40
Rushing Yards
86
124
Rush Attempts
24
28
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
11
Passing 1st downs
9
4
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
33%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.76
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-10
-20
Sack EPA
-2.59
-3.75
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
55
30
Penalty EPA
-7.66
-2.80
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
2
Yards / Game
8
3
Passing Yards / Game
2
5
Rushing Yards / Game
25
4
EPA
EPA / Play
27
1
EPA / Pass
17
1
EPA / Rush
26
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
13
Interceptions / Game
27
9
Fumbles / Game
29
20
Turnover EPA / Game
6
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
8
4th Down Efficiency
18
6
RZ Efficiency
28
1
Buccaneers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
18
Yards / Game
28
30
Passing Yards / Game
30
23
Rushing Yards / Game
18
24
EPA
EPA / Play
29
16
EPA / Pass
28
23
EPA / Rush
28
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
18
Interceptions / Game
14
23
Fumbles / Game
25
7
Turnover EPA / Game
14
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
28
4th Down Efficiency
12
1
RZ Efficiency
28
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
3-3
SU
4-1-1
ATS
0-0-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Buccaneers
2-3
SU
3-1-1
ATS
0-0-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U