CHIBears
7-3
13
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
76°F
10 mph
10
TBBuccaneers
7-3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
76°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
7
3
3
0
13
Buccaneers
3
0
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
239
275
Total Plays
63
59
Yards / Play
3.8
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.17
Passing Yards
121
168
Comp/Att
14/28(50%)
19/30(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
5.6
EPA / Pass
-0.24
-0.30
Rushing Yards
118
107
Rush Attempts
33
25
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
15
Passing 1st downs
6
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
27%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.42
-5.09
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-13
-34
Sack EPA
-2.85
-8.86
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
35
52
Penalty EPA
-5.19
-4.84
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
7
Yards / Game
28
1
Passing Yards / Game
32
15
Rushing Yards / Game
9
5
EPA
EPA / Play
31
3
EPA / Pass
31
5
EPA / Rush
20
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
14
Interceptions / Game
13
13
Fumbles / Game
14
18
Turnover EPA / Game
26
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
7
4th Down Efficiency
17
13
RZ Efficiency
15
13
Buccaneers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
1
Yards / Game
24
4
Passing Yards / Game
23
11
Rushing Yards / Game
15
11
EPA
EPA / Play
21
1
EPA / Pass
22
1
EPA / Rush
15
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
20
Interceptions / Game
13
3
Fumbles / Game
10
22
Turnover EPA / Game
8
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
2
4th Down Efficiency
17
4
RZ Efficiency
15
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U