CHIBears
4-6
23
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
64°F
7 mph
20
LACChargers
4-5
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
64°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Bears
0
3
14
3
3
23
Chargers
7
3
0
10
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
430
348
Total Plays
67
74
Yards / Play
6.4
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.04
Passing Yards
355
264
Comp/Att
25/38(66%)
29/46(63%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.33
+0.02
Rushing Yards
75
84
Rush Attempts
28
27
Yards / Rush
2.7
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
20
Passing 1st downs
13
16
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
33%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
9
3rd Down Attempts
15
18
Red Zone %
17%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.58
-6.69
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-9
Sack EPA
-1.09
-2.03
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
--
40
Penalty EPA
--
-3.09
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
11
Yards / Game
8
10
Passing Yards / Game
2
22
Rushing Yards / Game
25
3
EPA
EPA / Play
27
13
EPA / Pass
17
27
EPA / Rush
26
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
10
Interceptions / Game
27
19
Fumbles / Game
29
14
Turnover EPA / Game
6
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
16
4th Down Efficiency
18
26
RZ Efficiency
28
16
Chargers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
18
Yards / Game
26
30
Passing Yards / Game
9
23
Rushing Yards / Game
27
24
EPA
EPA / Play
23
16
EPA / Pass
24
23
EPA / Rush
29
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
18
Interceptions / Game
29
23
Fumbles / Game
6
7
Turnover EPA / Game
9
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
28
4th Down Efficiency
15
1
RZ Efficiency
25
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
4-6
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
4-5
SU
4-5
ATS
0-0-9
O/U