CHIBears
7-8
3
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
46°F
6 mph
31
KCChiefs
12-3
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
46°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
0
3
0
3
Chiefs
0
14
7
10
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
241
282
Total Plays
68
65
Yards / Play
3.5
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.24
+0.17
Passing Yards
157
195
Comp/Att
17/42(40%)
22/30(73%)
Yards / Pass
3.7
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.50
+0.13
Rushing Yards
84
87
Rush Attempts
22
34
Yards / Rush
3.8
2.6
EPA / Rush
+0.01
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
22
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
13%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
0%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.17
-4.09
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-41
-8
Sack EPA
-8.67
-1.95
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
71
55
Penalty EPA
-5.98
-7.32
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
22
Yards / Game
28
29
Passing Yards / Game
14
18
Rushing Yards / Game
18
30
EPA
EPA / Play
24
26
EPA / Pass
31
17
EPA / Rush
8
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
30
Interceptions / Game
25
4
Fumbles / Game
9
23
Turnover EPA / Game
17
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
18
4th Down Efficiency
2
10
RZ Efficiency
18
23
Chiefs Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
21
Yards / Game
3
14
Passing Yards / Game
19
5
Rushing Yards / Game
11
16
EPA
EPA / Play
1
20
EPA / Pass
3
19
EPA / Rush
2
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
4
Interceptions / Game
2
15
Fumbles / Game
7
32
Turnover EPA / Game
32
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
20
4th Down Efficiency
1
9
RZ Efficiency
1
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U