CHIBears
-
7
TBD
FedExField
83°F
09
WASCommanders
-
TBD
FedExField
83°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
0
7
0
7
Commanders
0
6
3
0
9
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
166
323
Total Plays
49
68
Yards / Play
3.4
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.10
Passing Yards
125
159
Comp/Att
15/28(54%)
14/25(56%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.13
-0.01
Rushing Yards
41
164
Rush Attempts
18
40
Yards / Rush
2.3
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.30
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
18
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
46%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-7.79
-11.59
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-16
-16
Sack EPA
-6.40
-6.16
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
86
45
Penalty EPA
-8.73
-3.51
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
9
Yards / Game
28
9
Passing Yards / Game
32
7
Rushing Yards / Game
9
12
EPA
EPA / Play
31
7
EPA / Pass
31
9
EPA / Rush
20
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
18
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
14
14
Turnover EPA / Game
26
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
13
4th Down Efficiency
17
6
RZ Efficiency
15
3
Commanders Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
1
Yards / Game
19
4
Passing Yards / Game
25
11
Rushing Yards / Game
7
11
EPA
EPA / Play
11
1
EPA / Pass
11
1
EPA / Rush
14
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
20
Interceptions / Game
6
3
Fumbles / Game
29
22
Turnover EPA / Game
21
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
2
4th Down Efficiency
11
4
RZ Efficiency
5
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U