CHIBears
5-7
16
TBD
FedExField
26°F
024
WASCommanders
5-7
TBD
FedExField
26°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
0
10
6
16
Commanders
0
7
7
10
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
356
345
Total Plays
77
61
Yards / Play
4.6
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.03
Passing Yards
296
314
Comp/Att
29/51(57%)
25/36(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.05
+0.39
Rushing Yards
60
31
Rush Attempts
24
24
Yards / Rush
2.5
1.3
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.52
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
15
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
1
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
31%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.30
-3.56
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-13
-10
Sack EPA
-2.73
-3.56
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
--
48
Penalty EPA
--
-7.91
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
12
Yards / Game
27
9
Passing Yards / Game
6
24
Rushing Yards / Game
30
3
EPA
EPA / Play
26
8
EPA / Pass
26
6
EPA / Rush
30
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
21
Interceptions / Game
28
22
Fumbles / Game
15
24
Turnover EPA / Game
15
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
5
4th Down Efficiency
18
26
RZ Efficiency
27
6
Commanders Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
17
Yards / Game
15
28
Passing Yards / Game
7
30
Rushing Yards / Game
12
24
EPA
EPA / Play
20
5
EPA / Pass
12
14
EPA / Rush
32
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
9
Interceptions / Game
4
18
Fumbles / Game
29
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
2
4th Down Efficiency
24
29
RZ Efficiency
20
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
3-7
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U