CHIBears
3-9
9
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
72°F
14 mph
27
MIADolphins
7-5
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
72°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
0
3
6
9
Dolphins
7
7
7
6
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
195
436
Total Plays
59
73
Yards / Play
3.3
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.41
-0.10
Passing Yards
88
188
Comp/Att
11/33(33%)
15/29(52%)
Yards / Pass
2.7
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.97
-0.16
Rushing Yards
107
248
Rush Attempts
24
43
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
22
Passing 1st downs
5
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
17%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
50%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
3
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-17.46
-11.11
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-13
-8
Sack EPA
-6.82
-2.03
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
55
58
Penalty EPA
+0.76
-7.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
4
Yards / Game
29
3
Passing Yards / Game
17
5
Rushing Yards / Game
32
5
EPA
EPA / Play
27
9
EPA / Pass
27
4
EPA / Rush
27
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
26
Interceptions / Game
21
5
Fumbles / Game
25
30
Turnover EPA / Game
4
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
4
4th Down Efficiency
18
1
RZ Efficiency
8
5
Dolphins Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
25
Yards / Game
15
25
Passing Yards / Game
25
28
Rushing Yards / Game
2
27
EPA
EPA / Play
7
21
EPA / Pass
16
26
EPA / Rush
9
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
7
Interceptions / Game
12
30
Fumbles / Game
27
3
Turnover EPA / Game
17
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
10
4th Down Efficiency
31
25
RZ Efficiency
2
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U