CHIBears
3-2
20
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
022
ATLFalcons
3-2
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
3
7
10
20
Falcons
6
3
3
10
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
361
376
Total Plays
67
60
Yards / Play
5.4
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.18
Passing Yards
282
--
Comp/Att
26/43(60%)
22/30(73%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
--
EPA / Pass
+0.26
+0.64
Rushing Yards
79
75
Rush Attempts
23
30
Yards / Rush
3.4
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
17
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
56%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
9
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
40%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
+1.97
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-4
--
Sack EPA
-1.73
--
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
57
46
Penalty EPA
-6.51
-4.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
11
Yards / Game
26
24
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
22
24
EPA
EPA / Play
25
16
EPA / Pass
27
17
EPA / Rush
27
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
28
Interceptions / Game
15
27
Fumbles / Game
29
21
Turnover EPA / Game
14
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
14
4th Down Efficiency
23
13
RZ Efficiency
13
15
Falcons Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
15
Yards / Game
6
21
Passing Yards / Game
31
9
Rushing Yards / Game
3
5
EPA
EPA / Play
7
7
EPA / Pass
8
10
EPA / Rush
10
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
21
Interceptions / Game
9
3
Fumbles / Game
7
22
Turnover EPA / Game
27
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
6
4th Down Efficiency
15
14
RZ Efficiency
11
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U