CHIBears
12-2
26
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
021
DETLions
2-12
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
3
14
0
9
26
Lions
7
0
14
0
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
354
327
Total Plays
77
66
Yards / Play
4.6
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.08
Passing Yards
238
260
Comp/Att
26/45(58%)
27/45(60%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.01
Rushing Yards
116
67
Rush Attempts
30
18
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
10
15
Rushing 1st downs
9
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
35%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
17
13
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.24
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-10
-23
Sack EPA
-3.19
-8.83
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
48
92
Penalty EPA
-5.00
-10.37
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
30
Yards / Game
14
28
Passing Yards / Game
12
8
Rushing Yards / Game
12
21
EPA
EPA / Play
15
24
EPA / Pass
26
30
EPA / Rush
14
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
2
Interceptions / Game
27
25
Fumbles / Game
22
4
Turnover EPA / Game
4
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
27
4th Down Efficiency
4
32
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Lions Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
3
Yards / Game
22
9
Passing Yards / Game
1
20
Rushing Yards / Game
32
9
EPA
EPA / Play
26
1
EPA / Pass
21
2
EPA / Rush
30
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
29
Interceptions / Game
28
3
Fumbles / Game
31
1
Turnover EPA / Game
2
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
3
4th Down Efficiency
24
12
RZ Efficiency
30
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U