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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bears @ packers week 2, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CHI logo
CHIBears
0-1
21
TBD
Lambeau Field
74°F
15 mph
10
GBPackers
1-0
GB logo
TBD
Lambeau Field
74°F
15 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
8
7
0
15
Packers
3
0
7
0
10

Game Statistics

General
Bears logo
Packers logo
Total Yards
307
404
Total Plays
54
73
Yards / Play
5.7
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.19
Passing Yards
125
--
Comp/Att
10/18(56%)
24/42(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
--
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.14
Rushing Yards
182
152
Rush Attempts
35
31
Yards / Rush
5.2
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
Bears logo
Packers logo
1st Downs
18
23
Passing 1st downs
6
11
Rushing 1st downs
10
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
38%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
8
16
Red Zone %
67%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Bears logo
Packers logo
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.62
-18.68
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-7
--
Sack EPA
-1.37
--
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
--
50
Penalty EPA
--
-6.51

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CHI logo
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bears Offense vs Packers Defense
Bears logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
32
23
Yards / Game
32
25
Passing Yards / Game
27
13
Rushing Yards / Game
26
15

EPA

EPA / Play
32
29
EPA / Pass
32
30
EPA / Rush
29
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
31
Interceptions / Game
14
31
Fumbles / Game
30
32
Turnover EPA / Game
8
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
9
4th Down Efficiency
28
21
RZ Efficiency
32
27
Packers Offense vs Bears Defense
Packers logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
5
12
Yards / Game
5
19
Passing Yards / Game
25
4
Rushing Yards / Game
11
24

EPA

EPA / Play
6
3
EPA / Pass
6
6
EPA / Rush
16
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
1
Interceptions / Game
28
15
Fumbles / Game
8
6
Turnover EPA / Game
15
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
1
4th Down Efficiency
8
3
RZ Efficiency
6
5

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CHI logo

Bears

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/02
13
W
W
P
11/09
-2
L
L
P
11/16
-2
L
W
P
11/23
9
W
W
P
11/30
25
W
W
P
12/07
-13
L
L
P
12/14
3
W
W
P
12/21
3
W
L
P
12/28
-28
L
L
P
09/12
-4
L
L
P
GB logo

Packers

8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/16
7
W
W
P
11/23
10
W
W
P
11/27
-8
L
L
P
12/07
13
W
W
P
12/14
17
W
W
P
12/22
34
W
W
P
12/28
28
W
W
P
01/04
6
W
L
P
01/11
-3
L
W
P
09/13
10
W
W
P