CHIBears
3-5
14
TBD
Lambeau Field
51°F
5 mph
13
GBPackers
4-3
TBD
Lambeau Field
51°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
7
0
7
0
14
Packers
3
7
0
3
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
311
339
Total Plays
64
70
Yards / Play
4.9
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.06
Passing Yards
151
240
Comp/Att
18/34(53%)
27/39(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.05
+0.15
Rushing Yards
160
85
Rush Attempts
29
29
Yards / Rush
5.5
2.9
EPA / Rush
+0.00
-0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
9
16
Rushing 1st downs
9
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
43%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
33%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.53
-4.31
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-6
-13
Sack EPA
-1.14
-4.21
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-1.98
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
18
Yards / Game
8
18
Passing Yards / Game
2
11
Rushing Yards / Game
25
22
EPA
EPA / Play
27
23
EPA / Pass
17
22
EPA / Rush
26
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
22
Interceptions / Game
27
4
Fumbles / Game
29
16
Turnover EPA / Game
6
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
21
4th Down Efficiency
18
11
RZ Efficiency
28
12
Packers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
18
Yards / Game
9
30
Passing Yards / Game
3
23
Rushing Yards / Game
21
24
EPA
EPA / Play
9
16
EPA / Pass
13
23
EPA / Rush
16
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
18
Interceptions / Game
28
23
Fumbles / Game
25
7
Turnover EPA / Game
15
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
28
4th Down Efficiency
31
1
RZ Efficiency
10
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
3-5
SU
5-2-1
ATS
0-0-8
O/U
Packers
4-3
SU
2-5
ATS
0-0-7
O/U