CHIBears
5-4
3
TBD
Lambeau Field
33°F
15 mph
37
GBPackers
4-5
TBD
Lambeau Field
33°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
3
0
0
3
Packers
7
10
7
7
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
234
427
Total Plays
54
68
Yards / Play
4.3
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.29
+0.28
Passing Yards
151
--
Comp/Att
17/33(52%)
23/30(77%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.18
+0.35
Rushing Yards
83
200
Rush Attempts
20
38
Yards / Rush
4.2
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.53
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
9
24
Passing 1st downs
5
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
25%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.59
-1.82
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-8
--
Sack EPA
-1.47
--
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
65
55
Penalty EPA
-3.97
-6.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
22
Yards / Game
26
20
Passing Yards / Game
7
19
Rushing Yards / Game
22
26
EPA
EPA / Play
25
17
EPA / Pass
27
5
EPA / Rush
27
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
14
Interceptions / Game
15
3
Fumbles / Game
29
26
Turnover EPA / Game
14
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
13
4th Down Efficiency
23
31
RZ Efficiency
13
24
Packers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
15
Yards / Game
9
21
Passing Yards / Game
9
9
Rushing Yards / Game
17
5
EPA
EPA / Play
8
7
EPA / Pass
7
10
EPA / Rush
14
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
21
Interceptions / Game
11
3
Fumbles / Game
6
22
Turnover EPA / Game
26
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
6
4th Down Efficiency
21
14
RZ Efficiency
4
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U