CHIBears
9-2
7
TBD
Lambeau Field
33°F
12 mph
17
GBPackers
8-3
TBD
Lambeau Field
33°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
0
7
0
7
Packers
7
0
7
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
189
352
Total Plays
52
65
Yards / Play
3.6
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.05
Passing Yards
--
185
Comp/Att
18/33(55%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.9
EPA / Pass
-0.39
+0.08
Rushing Yards
50
167
Rush Attempts
19
36
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
17
Passing 1st downs
7
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
17%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.40
-4.48
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-22
Sack EPA
--
-3.41
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
15
39
Penalty EPA
-1.52
-2.97
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
9
Yards / Game
27
12
Passing Yards / Game
30
21
Rushing Yards / Game
16
14
EPA
EPA / Play
18
8
EPA / Pass
23
6
EPA / Rush
15
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
29
Interceptions / Game
15
10
Fumbles / Game
2
2
Turnover EPA / Game
15
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
21
4th Down Efficiency
15
10
RZ Efficiency
18
14
Packers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
2
Yards / Game
6
14
Passing Yards / Game
5
28
Rushing Yards / Game
21
2
EPA
EPA / Play
5
3
EPA / Pass
4
7
EPA / Rush
24
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
31
Interceptions / Game
19
9
Fumbles / Game
18
3
Turnover EPA / Game
9
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
9
4th Down Efficiency
19
3
RZ Efficiency
5
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
9-1
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U