CHIBears
3-8
20
TBD
Lambeau Field
23°F
10 mph
30
GBPackers
8-3
TBD
Lambeau Field
23°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
7
7
0
6
20
Packers
3
3
10
14
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
304
396
Total Plays
59
75
Yards / Play
5.2
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.11
Passing Yards
230
215
Comp/Att
27/39(69%)
24/42(57%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.14
-0.11
Rushing Yards
74
181
Rush Attempts
17
32
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.7
EPA / Rush
-0.41
+0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
26
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
27%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-14.00
-5.76
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-18
-6
Sack EPA
-3.72
-4.20
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
39
--
Penalty EPA
-5.43
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
12
Yards / Game
29
7
Passing Yards / Game
17
3
Rushing Yards / Game
32
24
EPA
EPA / Play
27
8
EPA / Pass
27
2
EPA / Rush
27
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
24
Interceptions / Game
21
4
Fumbles / Game
25
2
Turnover EPA / Game
4
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
5
4th Down Efficiency
18
5
RZ Efficiency
8
17
Packers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
25
Yards / Game
12
25
Passing Yards / Game
8
28
Rushing Yards / Game
14
27
EPA
EPA / Play
19
21
EPA / Pass
17
26
EPA / Rush
19
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
7
Interceptions / Game
20
30
Fumbles / Game
19
3
Turnover EPA / Game
11
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
10
4th Down Efficiency
21
25
RZ Efficiency
18
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U