CHIBears
1-0
17
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
88°F
10 mph
20
CARPanthers
1-0
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
88°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
1
3
7
0
11
Panthers
0
3
10
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
256
216
Total Plays
62
55
Yards / Play
4.1
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.29
-0.30
Passing Yards
141
102
Comp/Att
19/32(59%)
12/21(57%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.35
-0.50
Rushing Yards
115
114
Rush Attempts
29
31
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
12
Passing 1st downs
6
4
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
40%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-10.58
-6.74
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-8
-26
Sack EPA
-1.34
-3.75
Penalties
12
10
Penalty Yards
86
65
Penalty EPA
-2.82
-6.83
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
13
Yards / Game
26
19
Passing Yards / Game
7
29
Rushing Yards / Game
22
21
EPA
EPA / Play
25
10
EPA / Pass
27
11
EPA / Rush
27
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
27
Interceptions / Game
15
21
Fumbles / Game
29
11
Turnover EPA / Game
14
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
20
4th Down Efficiency
23
9
RZ Efficiency
13
14
Panthers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
15
Yards / Game
11
21
Passing Yards / Game
29
9
Rushing Yards / Game
2
5
EPA
EPA / Play
12
7
EPA / Pass
15
10
EPA / Rush
2
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
21
Interceptions / Game
20
3
Fumbles / Game
5
22
Turnover EPA / Game
17
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
6
4th Down Efficiency
31
14
RZ Efficiency
2
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U